President, but you're wrong. I think that the people who are alarmist are in a very strong position.
Yet the months since then show no global warming at all.
Marc Morano - Climate Depot November 4, 2: Yet the months since then show no global warming at all Fig. The least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset shows no global warming for 18 years 9 months since Februarythough one-third of all anthropogenic forcings have occurred during the period of the Pause.
The accidental delegate from Burma provoked shrieks of fury from the congregation during the final benediction in Doha three years ago, when he said the Pause had endured for 16 years. Now, almost three years later, the Pause is almost three years longer. It is worth understanding just how surprised the modelers ought to be by the persistence of the Pause.
NOAA, in a very rare fit of honesty, admitted in its State of the Climate report that 15 years or more without global warming would demonstrate a discrepancy between prediction and observation.
The steepness of this predicted response can be seen in Fig.
But, despite the very substantial forcings in the 18 years 9 months since Februarynot a flicker of warming has resulted. Models predict rapid initial warming in response to a forcing. Instead, no warming at all is occurring. Based on Roe At the Heartland and Philip Foster events in Paris, I shall reveal in detail the three serious errors that have led the models to over-predict warming so grossly.
The RSS temperature record is beginning to reflect its magnitude. From next month on, the Pause will probably shorten dramatically and may disappear altogether for a time. The hiatus period of 18 years 9 months is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend.
The start date is not cherry-picked: And the graph does not mean there is no such thing as global warming. Going back further shows a small warming rate. And yes, the start-date for the Pause has been inching forward, though just a little more slowly than the end-date, which is why the Pause continues on average to lengthen.
So long a stasis in global temperature is simply inconsistent not only with the extremist predictions of the computer models but also with the panic whipped up by the rent-seeking profiteers of doom rubbing their hands with glee in Paris. However, the much-altered surface tamperature datasets show a small warming rate Fig.
Bearing in mind that one-third of the 2. As always, a note of caution. Merely because there has been little or no warming in recent decades, one may not draw the conclusion that warming has ended forever. The trend lines measure what has occurred: Near-term projections of warming at a rate equivalent to 2.
Predicted temperature change, January to Septemberat a rate equivalent to 1. In a rational scientific discourse, those who had advocated extreme measures to prevent global warming would now be withdrawing and calmly rethinking their hypotheses.
However, this is not a rational scientific discourse. The New Superstition is no fides quaerens intellectum. The RSS satellite dataset shows no global warming at all for months from February to Octber — more than half the month satellite record.
There has been no warming even though one-third of all anthropogenic forcings since have occurred since the Pause began in February The entire RSS dataset for the months December to September shows global warming at an unalarming rate equivalent to just 1. Sincewhen a human influence on global temperature first became theoretically possible, the global warming trend has been equivalent to below 1.
The global warming trend since is equivalent to 0. This is well within natural variability and may not have much to do with us. The fastest warming rate lasting 15 years or more since occurred over the 33 years from to It was equivalent to 2.Review and pay your bill, sign-up to pay your bill automatically, and see the latest upgrade offers and deals.
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Denialists are dead wrong about the science. But they understand something the left still doesn’t get about the revolutionary meaning of climate change. Oct 30, · Figure 1. CMIP5 climate models developed by still predict more warming than observed, only a few years later. Source here..
3. Winter predictions. Global Warming. A Colossal Hoax Designed to Further Enrich NWO Globalists “The IPCC review process is totally flawed. The scientific basis for the Kyoto Protocol is grossly inadequate.”. A well-researched article suggesting Anthropomorphic Global Warming may be a hoax.
Denialists are dead wrong about the science. But they understand something the left still doesn’t get about the revolutionary meaning of climate change.